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Braves Vs Mets: MLB Betting Odds & Trends – 10/3/2021

Charlie Morton will attempt to secure his 15th win of the campaign when his Atlanta Braves (87-73) host the New York Mets (77-84) on Sunday at 3:20 PM ET. Morton takes the mound first for Atlanta (-150 to win), and Noah Syndergaard is New York’s (+130) pick to start.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 3, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Braves vs Mets Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Morton (ATL) Pitcher Syndergaard (NYM)
14 – 6 W/L 0 – 0
183.0 IP 1.0
3.34 ERA 0.00
1.040 WHIP 0.000
10.5 K/9 18
2.8 BB/9 0

Braves Probable Starter Charlie Morton

  • The Braves will send Morton (14-6) to make his 33rd start of the season. He is 14-6 with a 3.34 ERA and 213 strikeouts in 183 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Phillies, when he went seven scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
  • He will face off against a Mets offense that is batting .239 as a unit (19th in the MLB). They are also slugging a collective .392 (25th in the league) with 176 total home runs (25th in MLB play).
  • The Braves have been the moneyline favorite in 28 of Morton’s starts this season, and they went 14-14 in those matchups.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 3, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Morton

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 23 .087 2 0 0 .160 .334
Jonathan Villar 14 .214 3 1 1 .214 .643
Kevin Pillar 13 .154 2 0 0 .214 .368
Dominic Smith 11 .273 3 1 2 .333 .878
Michael Conforto 9 .333 3 1 2 .400 1.178
James McCann 8 .125 1 1 3 .125 .625
Jeff McNeil 7 .286 2 1 2 .444 1.158
Pete Alonso 6 .333 2 0 1 .333 .833
Luis Guillorme 5 .200 1 0 0 .429 .629
Brandon Nimmo 5 .000 0 0 0 .167 .167

Mets Probable Starter Noah Syndergaard

  • Syndergaard will take to the mound for the Mets, his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Marlins, throwing one inning without allowing a run or hit.
  • The Braves have scored 785 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB. They are batting .244 for the campaign with 238 home runs, third in the league.
  • This will be his first start this season with his team as the moneyline underdog.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 3, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Syndergaard

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Freddie Freeman 22 .455 10 1 6 .478 1.296
Dansby Swanson 18 .444 8 0 1 .474 .974
Ozzie Albies 12 .167 2 1 1 .167 .584
Joc Pederson 12 .083 1 0 0 .154 .237
Adam Duvall 9 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Orlando Arcia 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .400
Johan Camargo 5 .200 1 0 1 .200 .400
Austin Riley 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jorge Soler 4 .750 3 0 0 .833 1.833
Eddie Rosario 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves average 5.1 runs per home game compared to 4.8 per contest on the road.
  • The Braves have the No. 8 offense in MLB play scoring 4.9 runs per game (785 total runs).
  • The Braves are 64-47 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 57.7% of those games).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -150 or shorter, Atlanta has gone 37-24 (60.7%).
  • Atlanta has had an over/under set by bookmakers 160 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 74 of those games (74-76-10).
  • Atlanta went 6-2 over the eight games it was favored on the moneyline in its last 10 matchups.

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Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have scored the 27th-most runs in the league this season with just 636 (four per game).
  • They’ve scored 4.2 runs per game this season on the road while averaging 3.7 at home.
  • The Mets have been underdogs in 65 games this season and won 23 (35.4%) of those contests.
  • New York has a record of 5-21, a 19.2% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +130 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 68 of their 161 opportunities.
  • New York has played as the underdog in six of its past 10 games and won one of those contests.

Braves Players to Watch

  • Austin Riley has accumulated a team-best batting average of .302, and paces the Braves in home runs (33) and runs batted in (105).
  • Among the qualified hitters in MLB, Riley ranks seventh in hits (177), 21st in HR (33), eighth in RBI (105), ninth in AVG (.302), and 20th in OBP (.366).
  • Freddie Freeman is batting .300 with 25 doubles, two triples, 31 home runs and 85 walks.
  • Among the qualified hitters in baseball, Freeman’s 179 hits rank fifth, his .300 AVG ranks 10th, and his .393 OBP ranks fourth.

Braves Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ozzie Albies 625 .259 102 30 105 .311 .799
Freddie Freeman 597 .300 119 31 83 .393 .897
Dansby Swanson 586 .249 78 27 88 .311 .762
Austin Riley 586 .302 90 33 105 .366 .895
Adam Duvall 314 .229 41 22 68 .277 .755
Jorge Soler 308 .192 38 13 37 .288 .658
Guillermo Heredia 305 .220 46 5 26 .311 .665
Eddie Rosario 283 .254 29 7 46 .296 .685
Joc Pederson 256 .230 35 11 39 .300 .718
Travis d’Arnaud 206 .218 21 7 26 .283 .671

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs (37) and runs batted in (94) this season while batting .261.
  • Alonso ranks 10th in HR among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .232 with an OBP of .325 and a slugging percentage of .415 this season.
  • Lindor is not among league leaders in SLG and OBP among qualified hitters in the majors.

Mets Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Pete Alonso 559 .261 81 37 94 .342 .861
Jonathan Villar 451 .248 63 18 42 .322 .739
Francisco Lindor 448 .232 73 20 63 .325 .740
Dominic Smith 443 .246 43 11 58 .306 .672
Michael Conforto 403 .231 52 14 55 .345 .730
Jeff McNeil 386 .249 48 7 35 .317 .675
James McCann 375 .232 29 10 46 .294 .643
Javier Báez 335 .248 48 22 65 .292 .776
Kevin Pillar 325 .231 40 15 47 .277 .692
Brandon Nimmo 321 .296 51 8 28 .405 .847

Braves vs Mets Player Props

Powered By Data Skrive using data from Braves Vs Mets: MLB Betting Odds & Trends - 10/3/2021

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